Jermar Jefferson (ADP: RB6), my Pre-Combine RB6, posted a 32.2 SPORQ score. For wide receivers and tight ends, the dominator rating is the percentage of team receiving production. Running backs and wide receivers are held to a different standard as times of 4.50 or below are considered fast for RBs and WRs. Referred to here as Target Premium, it is the percentage of additional fantasy points per target that a wide receiver or tight end generates over and above the other pass receivers on his team. to the Steelers roster, I thought some might enjoy digging He has good size (62, 205 pounds) and his SPORQ score is near-elite (90.2). 2 corner in the class, especially after showcasing 92nd percentile adjusted athleticism. Light Front - six or less defenders in the box. Among WRs, his 115.3 Speed Score ranks behind only D.K. Albert O was the only tight end to finish above the 75th percentile level Hunter Bryant, Harrison Bryant, and Jared Pinkney watched their stocks drop with sub-20th percentile athleticism. Every players on-field performance is affected by his teammates. Opportunity Share percentage of total team running back carries + targets for a particular back. By raw 40-yard-dash, he ranks behind only Griffin (4.33), Michael Vick (4.33), and Reggie McNeal (4.40). In 2019, his redshirt junior-year, he averaged 7.1 receptions, 119.9 yards, and 1.73 touchdowns per game. Like with Freiermuth, Im not going to penalize him, but he did drop in my rankings due to projected draft capital. Expected Points Added (EPA) measures the value of individual plays by calculating the expected points scored based on the down, distance, and field position situation at the start of a play and contrasting it with the situation at the end of the play. This probably means hes not close to the prospect Montgomery was or that Hall is, but few are, Evans, a former 4-star prospect, started in only six of 42 career games, and will be 24 years old as a rookie in 2021. Watch live streaming. Trevor Lawrence averaged 8.1 rushing FPG and 39.9 rushing YPG over his last two seasons at Clemson. Copyright 2020 . At the end of the day, Smith dropped a tier in my overall rankings but still ranks as my WR2 in this class. Unlike running backs, weight and height are correlated to wide receiver and tight end production, because height expands the players catch radius. Fehoko (64, 222 pounds) is the most-exciting of the bunch (WR15 in my rankings). I think a year in an NFL weight room could turn him into a real player. The distance in inches is then turned into SPARQ Points to be added to the final score. Mitchell's 40 time, coupled with his performances in the vertical jump, the agility shuttle and the kneeling power ball toss, earned him a score of 154.47, which earned For instance, last season, he ranked top-7 in both missed tackles forced per touch (0.30) and yards after contact per attempt (4.04). If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. In this class, he ranks behind only Kene Nwangwu and Travis Etienne by SPORQ score, and he now sits at RB9 in my rankings. Relative Athletic Scores grade a player's measurements on a 0 to 10 scale compared to their peer group. Total Best Ball Points Added aggregates a player's total points scored above this quantified weekly threshold over the course of the season. Athleticism alone can get you drafted, but its probably not enough on its own to bring you to fantasy relevance. And had he run, its possible Harris might look like an even better prospect than the one he already is (4th-best since 2015, per my Pre-Combine model). Formula is as follows: Mass (lb) / Height (in)^2 x 703. Since 1995, the only sub-180-pound RB to hit triple-digit fantasy points in a single season is Dexter McCluster, who accomplished this feat only once. Deep Balls charts the total number of passing attempts that travel 20 yards or farther in the air. But, both times he was an edge. From an athletic-standpoint, only Vernon Davis ranks higher by SPORQ (of 375 qualifiers since 2000). Elijah Mitchell skyrocketed up my ranking with an elite SPORQ score (94.9). Jaret Patterson (ADP: RB11) posted a 11.1 SPORQ score. You can search for any player Happy Draft Week 2023! This points system rewards weekly volatility, while discounting consistency. to get him working on his body - if relations weren't so strained Burns feels like the wild card for our first rounder. Burn Rate -Percentage of targets allowed in which the defensive back's assigned receiver gained more than 5 yards of downfield separation. His placement in mocks goes from top ten to second round. Going to look into him a bit more, but he played against weak competition. Age is calculated for each player as of September 2020. Yards Created are accrued after the running back's first evaded tackle. My Pre-Combine model did not like Nico Collins (WR15), but he has ideal size (6-4 and 215 lbs) and good athleticism (88.2 SPORQ score). Its a piece of the puzzle. The Cincinnati Bengals have finally answered at least one part of the question at the running back position by taking Illinois Chase Brown in the fifth round of the 2023 NFL draft. Athletes in the 20-30 range possess solid functional intelligence. For example, a 20-yard touchdown reception gets your receiver 9 points in PPR leagues, but the team was already going to score a FG, maybe even a touchdown, when they're 20 yards from the end zone. Please note that the measureables used to calculate each players SPARQ can be found by scrolling to the right of the NFL% column. Since 2000, the only WR to weigh 175 pounds or less and post a 1,000-yard season is DeSean Jackson (169 pounds). Stacked Front - eight or more defenders in the box. And he can add more to that frame if needed. Stuck in a RBBC at Louisiana, my Pre-Combine model didnt love his lack of production or the fact that hes from a small school, but he flashed in a number of important efficiency metrics. The best score in the history of the NFL was Harvard graduate Ryan Fitzpatricks 48. For running backs, it is the percentage of total offensive production, because running backs are involved in both the running and passing game. College Dominator Rating is not relevant for the quarterback position. Rondale Moores 42.5 ranks 11th-best. But I doubt hell have the value one might expect of an EMU kid falling. The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by total targets. Jalen Camp (97.8), Simi Fehoko (93.6), Racey McMath (92.2), Michael Strachan (91.3), and Josh Imatorbhebhe (91.1) all posted elite SPARQ scores. Overall, the top prospects (Derrick Brown, Javon Kinlaw) didnt help their draft stocks, but there were a handful of risers with explosive times at the Combine Khalil Davis (100th percentile) and Carlos Davis (100th) were elite movers in the weight-adjusted forty, although they didnt participate in the agility drills. Malcolm Roach, Leki Fotu, McTelvin Agim, and Justin Madubuike all finished with 84th percentile scores Neville Gallimore had an elite weight-adjusted forty but tanked the agility drills, finishing as a nice 69th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete Derrick Brown had a rough day, checking in the 45th percentile. Ex. Fantasy Points Per Target measures wide receiver and tight end fantasy points in the context of the players opportunities. Red Zone Target Share measures the percentage of all passing targets from a line of scrimmage at or inside the 20-yard line directed at a particular wide receiver or tight end in games that the receiver was involved in the passing attack. Still, his production profile is strong enough that he didnt at all fall in my rankings despite just missing the 50th percentile benchmark. Breakout Age the younger a person is when he/she first becomes a leader in their respective field, the more likely that person is to go on to become *phenom*enal at their craft. Give the RAS calculator a try and view the score! That completion may be unlikely to lead to any points for his team, but if the quarterbacks team is leading, it increases the win probability enabling the leading team to run out the clock. And again, athleticism doesnt matter anywhere near as much as college production, and Smiths numbers were off the charts in that regard. Production Premium compares the outcome of all pass attempts, carries, and targets to league-average outcomein those same game situations (yard line, down, and distance). Where do they rank by SPORQ score (something akin to a composite athleticism score)? on the spreadsheet, to look up the combine numbers, etc. Pace of Play - Total plays per minute. Oregon went to the 3-4 in 2017/18 and he moved back to OLB. One of my favorite day three players. He earned the "Now I have to go back and watch the tape" award. Hell be a top-7 pick Kenneth Atwell ranked 8th in my Pre-Combine model, but I was certain hed fall during this phase of the process. This results in a measure of a players speed that also incorporates a premium on both body weight and body length. Rakeem Boyd (ADP: RB20) posted a 3.6 SPORQ score. By factoring out the disproportionate impact of long runs, the metric rewards running back consistency. Overall, the interior offensive linemen were solid, but Id be somewhat surprised if an interior lineman was selected within the top-20 picks Michigan C Cesar Ruiz testing in the 84th percentile should lock him into the top-3 in positional rankings, and there were a few risers, too. I really don't understand why everyone keeps putting Hollins as an off-ball LB. His SPORQ score of 87.1 ranks 11th-best in the class. SPARQ was a US-based company started in 2004 to create a standardized test for athleticism called the 'SPARQ Rating' and to sell training equipment and methods to help improve athleticism focused on the high school athlete (an "SAT" for athletes). No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. to back it up - even against top competition. Hes 15 pounds lighter than Engram, who is the lightest TE in our database with at least one TE1 season. Overall, this tight end class sucks. The position requires in-depth knowledge and instincts, which isnt measured publicly in Indy. Speed Score Bill Barnwell first posited the metric in Pro Football Prospectus to better predict running back success. It is derived by aggregating each players 40-yard Dash, Burst Score, and Agility Score, and then factors in a relevant measure of player size to ensure that big players receive a premium for speed, quickness and explosiveness. It's always interesting to dig into the SPARQ scores. Tylan Wallace (ADP: WR9) posted a 42.0 SPORQ score. Chases 173.0 ranks 20th-best. He averaged 7.9 rushing FPG in 2020 after averaging 5.3 rushing FPG across his first two seasons. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo. Where did these players rank in Phase I of my model (something akin to a composite production and efficiency score)? Athletes scoring in the 30-50 range are considered smart. Hand Size data presented by John Bales fromFantasy Labs showed a relationship between hand size and quarterback performance, particularly in cold weather conditions. Height-adjusted Speed Score (HaSS) first discussed by Shawn Siegele on his Money In The Banana Stand blog, it builds on Bill Barwells Speed Score concept to create a more relevant metric for wide receivers and tight ends. You can view more current content marked with a FREE banner, (We already know hes a freak athlete, and hes a Round 1 lock based on expected draft capital.). HaSS layers height into the traditional speed score equation by also dividing the players height by the average wide receiver height: 73.0 inches (61) or average tight end height: 76.4 inches (64 5/12'). 29.4% of the TEs in the top 90th-100th percentile had at least one top-6 fantasy season. Like I said, Moore was penalized due to his height, but whatever reduction I gave him (via SPORQ score) was always going to be wholly arbitrary. Heres a twitter thread looking at some historical player comparisons for the 2021 class based on athletic profile. He led Stanford in receiving yards last season, recording over twice as many as the next-closest receiver (33.3% YMS). Percentile Rank physical attributes and workout metrics include an overall percentile rank (100 being the best possible score) in parenthesis. We hope you're enjoying this old content for FREE. Chris Evans (ADP: RB18) wasnt too far behind (88.6), and Jake Funk ranked right behind Evans (83.8). People want to cast him as an off-ball LB because he plays so well in coverage, but he can hold the point and rush the passer. Chris Evans 167.5 burst score ranks best in this class and 17th-best since 2000. Williams (0.4 years older than Schwartz) averaged 64.3 YPG through three seasons at Auburn, compared to Schwartzs 43.4 YPG. That said, its also far from irrelevant. Money Throw A completed passs requiring exceptional skill or athleticism as well as critical completions in clutch moments during the game. Frank Darby (ADP: WR26) posted a 29.6 SPORQ score. Who are some hyper-athletic sleepers we might have missed in our first series of articles? Remarkably, Kene Nwangwu actually bested Mitchells mark with a 4.31 40-yard-dash. Note 2: Much is made over the fact that Pro Day numbers are typically much better than the numbers that same player will post at the Combine. Happy Draft Week 2023! This service is intended for adult audiences. True Yards Per Carry popularized by Zach Krueger in a piece written for PlayerProfiler, True YPC discounts all runs greater than 10 yards. Best Comparable Player aggregates physical attributes, college production, workout metrics, and NFL productivity and efficiency (when available) to find each players most similar peer at his position. Hes a freak. The equation squares a players 40-time, 20-yard shuttle, and 3-cone and multiplies it by the square of a players height, arm length, and vertical jump. Scores under 20 indicate that a player may be challenged to process information on-the-fly. Slot Rate - the percentage of passing down snaps a wide receiver or tight end lines up in the slot. If you disagree, thats fine and I totally understand the logic there. Overall, the safety class lacks a true blue-chip prospect, but there were a few athletic freaks to round out the Day 2 options Specifically, Kyle Dugger (99th percentile), Jeremy Chinn (98th), and Tanner Muse (91st) were borderline rare athletes for their size. This means that a 0.0 z-score and Overall, this edge class stinks and didnt help themselves at the Combine Chase Young didnt test, but he doesnt have to after destroying the Big Ten last season It was the Tier 2 edge rushers who were so disappointing. Of the likely Round 1 QBs in 2021, Mac Jones (4.82) and Justin Fields (4.46) were the only ones to run the 40-yard-dash at their Pro Day. also, how not having that bend can hinder even an athletic freak like Dupree. And then theres a big tier fall-off the Little 3 should all be selected within the mid-Round 2 to early-Round 3 range. The width of the box is the distance between the outer shoulder of right and the outer shoulder of the left tackle. The predictive power of air yards were first discussed by Josh Hermsmeyer in his introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com and his AirYards.com property. Best Ball Points Added - In the best ball format formats, players must reach a weekly points threshold to qualify for the starting lineup each week. Thanks for sharing. That ranks 9th-worst of 598 qualifiers since 2000. Some of the more well-known independent facilities include TopSpeed Strength & Conditioning in Kansas City, the Michael Johnson Performance Center in Dallas and Athletic Evolution in Massachusetts. Stuffed Runs run plays netting zero or negative yardage. Okudah is clearly the top corner and will be among my top non-quarterback prospects this season C.J. If his frame can handle the weight and build on his strength, he might Nwangwu and Evans might be worth a Round 5 dart throw in deep dynasty leagues. The Big 3 RBs are all deserving of Round 1 picks in TE Premium Superflex Rookie Drafts. Anthony Schwartz ran a 4.25 40-yard-dash at his Pro Day. I urge you to review my Pre-Combine rankings and analysis, which you can read here. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. Juke Rate isolates a running backs elusiveness and tackle-breaking power by charting the number of broken, missed, and otherwise avoided tackles (displayed to the immediate left), and then dividing by the total number of touches (carries + receptions). " Tremendous lower-body flexion for 45-degree edge bend ". The far majority of RBs, WRs, and TEs who posted a great production score in college and a great athleticism score at the Combine were great players for fantasy. How to read this: Danny Pinter is a 94th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Even Daniel Thomas, LJarius Sneed, Antoine Brooks, and KVon Wallace finished as top 74th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athletes Xavier McKinney finishing in the 8th percentile will most likely prevent him from being a Day 1 prospect in my model, but its important to remember how little athleticism matters for safety. But also that my new stat SPORQ score is the best tool you could use to measure athleticism. Looks explosive. Boyd, Felton, and Williams are now fully off my board. Overall, this corner class is fine, but also includes a potentially rare top-five prospect Jeffrey Okudahs tape was phenomenal in my opinion -- go watch him against Clemson -- and he backed it up with 96th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athleticism. Thats also a major red flag. Fantasy Points Per Opportunity measures running back fantasy points in the context of the players overall usage and playmaking prowess. Since 2000, weve only ever seen two RBs record a faster time at the Combine: Chris Johnson (4.24) and Keith Marshall (4.31). He was dinged partly due to size (58, 201 pounds), but also for a pedestrian 3-Cone an event which matters a great deal more for smaller RBs. Larry Rountree (ADP: RB17) posted a 7.6 SPORQ score. Jaelon Darden (ADP: WR19) posted a 18.3 SPORQ score. Here are the results of the 2020 NFL Draft Class: How to read this: A.J. This would rank tied with Marshall for 2nd-best since 2000. There are also other positions not listed here, but can be found Had he been fully healthy and simply elected not to participate, he might have fallen in my rankings, but Im willing to accept this excuse and keep him ranked as the clear RB1 in this class. Remember NIKE developed the SPARQ with three goals in mind: 1) To sell stuff, 2) To Darius Slayton (age 21.6) led the team, turning 72 targets into 670 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. The pool of players included in the percentile ranks consists of those currently signed to active and futures contracts. If weight-adjusted, he ranks 2nd-best among TEs since 2000. Smith still ranks quite high by projected draft capital (WR3, Round 1), so the NFL doesnt seem to be as concerned with Smiths athleticism as they (presumably) were with Tyler Johnsons. I severely penalized him for that fact and that appeared to be the right move my Pre-Combine model said he was deserving of a Round 1 or Round 2 pick, but he was ultimately drafted in Round 5. Last year, Tyler Johnson (whom my Pre-Combine model loved) elected not to participate in any event at the Combine. He isnt quite as unathletic as the other two, and he has better expected draft capital (RB7, Round 4) than either RB. I liked the way Cominsky moved. If we can't land an edge player early then I would love to add him. A pace above 2.50 is considered a very fast pace and under 2.00 is a very slow pace. Who moved up or down my board the most? He played as a down defensive end in a 4-3 in 2016. on the spreadsheets. He's one of the rare outside WRs in this class, with 98% of his career receiving yards coming out wide. ", "Mike Mitchell, former Ohio State, Texas Tech linebacker, at peace at Southeastern", "Athletic Assessment Protocols - SPARQ Training", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=SPARQ_Training&oldid=1147783844, Defunct manufacturing companies of the United States, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, Yo-Yo Intermittent Recovery Test or YIRT (, This page was last edited on 2 April 2023, at 04:33. Solid numbers in the jumps and the bench press were not enough to offset the pedestrian 40-time at his size (88.8 Speed Score). Going from his interview to the moody mess that is Jachai Polite really made Burns look so much better. If you would like to donate, you can help keep this going and help me add new features both in the program and on the site. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. His 10-yard split saved what wouldve been an even lower score. WebIf you scroll to the right, there is a weighted Athletic Profile column. Green Flags (Is that the opposite of a red flag?). Yo-Yo intermittent recovery test (beep test), "Nike SPARQ Training Ignites a revolution", "Rivals.com - SPARQ launches Pro Rating at NIKE Camps", "UF Asks company to take down Tebow's image", "SPARQ Magazine: Is Brian Clay the world's greatest athlete? As a player's NFL tenure lengthens, Lifetime Value becomes more heavily weighted by NFL production. Following this logic, Frank DuPont and Shawn Siegele first examined each wide receivers breakout age on RotoViz.com.
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